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How Lagos State Governorship Election is Calculated

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How Lagos State Governorship Election is Calculated

There are series of early indications that the 2019 governorship election in Lagos State will be keenly contested between the two major political parties more than ever. It became very obvious after the October primary election of the ruling All Progressive Congress in the State where the incumbent governor was controversially edged out in the painted and tainted primaries.

Though, in Nigeria, Elections are delivered amid fear of violence, the stage is often set on a very tough duel of do and die affairs, yet people are keenly anticipating for the much aligned and awaited 2019 governorship election in the State including the presidential one.

This article therefore centres on how governorship election results is calculated in Lagos State. In order to appropriately analyse this, let’s use 2015 governorship election in lagos State as a yardstick.

There are twenty local governments in Lagos State in which all political games in the State revolves round.
Aside from being thoroughly and accurately examined as the keenest governorship polls in Lagos State since 1999, it set the State on the national and continental political watch.

The Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) declared Ambode as winner having polled 811,994 votes to Agbaje’s 659,788 votes. The All Progressive Congress won in 15 local government councils while the People’s Democratic Party won in five. Ambode beat Agbaje with just a margin of 152,206 votes.

That 2015 election exercise is the People’s Democratic Party’s best performance ever.
In the political hubs of the 20 local government councils of Lagos State, seven have a delighting provenance for churning out and culminating a huge number of votes during elections because they have the largest population each in the State.

These councils, according to the Lagos Bureau of Statistics and census are:

  • Somolu of about 1,025,123 people,
  • Agege of 1,0033,064,
  • Oshodi-Isolo around 1,134,548,
  • Surulere about 1,274,362,
  • Mushin of about 1,321,517,
  • Ajeromi-Ifelodun around 1,435,295 and
  • Alimosho which is the largest and around 2,495,896.

In terms of political electioneering polls, Mushin, Ajeromi-Ifelodun and Alimosho constitute the three electoral heavyweights of State of which Alimosho, undoubtedly, is the electioneering navel and decider. It is a very complex tasks and full of imaginations to win any election in Lagos without the three councils, most significantly, the Alimosho political hubs.

They are un-challengably considered as the vesicle of Lagos State’s elections, any governorship candidate that wins in Alimosho is as good as having won the entire state.

In summary, governorship election result in Lagos State revolves round the political happenings in the twenty local governments council.

 

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